When Science Was Luck Not Science -Mental Model 056


The ability of an experiment or study to be duplicated.


Example: When PhD Brian Nosek and his team at the Center for Open Science attempted to reproduce 100 different psychology studies—only 39 were successfully replicated.


This demonstrates that a single scientific study does not prove something to be true—it must be reproduced.


Imagine conducting a coin tossing experiment. You have ten samples – ten tosses of the coin. It lands on heads every time. From the results you could infer that coins always land on heads. However, by trying to reproduce the ten tosses landing on heads, you will quickly find the results are not reproducible.


Wisdom: “All men make mistakes, but a good man yields when he knows his course is wrong, and repairs the evil. The only crime is pride.” ― Sophocles


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